Erickson Lubin vs Andreal Holmes Best Bets, Predictions, Odds

IBF No. 3 contender Erickson Lubin rematches amateur rival Andreal Holmes tonight on ProBox TV in a 12-round title eliminator, with the winner earning a shot at little-known junior middleweight champion Bakhram Murtazaliev (23-0, 17 KOs). ESPN Bet boxing odds have shifted in Lubin’s favor, moving from -300 to -350, with 57% of Erickson Lubin vs Andreal Holmes boxing predictions backing him to win.

Orlando, Florida’s Erickson “The Hammer” Lubin (26-2, 18 KOs) is one of boxing’s more electrifying talents—a skilled boxer-puncher with grit, swagger, and knockout power.

Andreal “Bossman” Holmes (17-0, 6 KOs), a tough technician out of Flint, Michigan is taking a huge step up in class but his handlers believe that he is up to the task.

Lubin vs Holmes is expected to begin at 11 p.m. ET from the 10,000-seat Silver Spurs Arena in Kissimmee, Florida.

Erickson Lubin vs Andreal Holmes Best Bets and Predictions

• Fight Prediction: Lubin via decision
• Best Bet: Lubin moneyline (-350 at Mybookie.ag)

Erickson Lubin vs Andreal Holmes Predictions

Erickson Lubin didn’t mince words when recalling his amateur scrap with Andreal Holmes in the 152-pound National Golden Gloves final. “I beat him easy,” said Lubin, who was 18 at the time, with Holmes a year older. That was then—headgear, pitter-pat gloves, and three rounds. This is now. Pro rules. Smaller gloves, longer rounds, no hiding, and the lights burn hotter. Advantage: Lubin.

Trained by Ed Kendall, the 6-foot-2 southpaw moves like he’s on cruise control with a good punch radar. But here’s the question that matters: can Holmes take a shot? We haven’t seen him hit clean by a real puncher yet—and Lubin ain’t feather-fisted. Holmes is long, lean, and built like a high jumper. And history tells us that guys built like that don’t always hold up when the leather lands heavy.

Erickson Lubin vs Andreal Holmes Best Bets

A lot of pundits are sniffing upset here, pointing to the 17-month layoff for Erickson “The Hammer” Lubin. Fair enough—but let’s be real. Lubin fights about as often as a solar eclipse, and when he does, he shows up ready. Ring rust? It’s baked into his rhythm by now.

Sure, Holmes is slick, smooth, and an underrated puncher. At +280, it’s tempting to throw a dart and hope Lubin is rusty. But that’s still a gamble on a guy who hasn’t proved he can handle this kind of heat. The tools are there, but we haven’t seen him tested in deep water against someone who can crack like Lubin.

Bottom line: Holmes is a nice prospect, but this ain’t the spot. Bet two units on the more physically gifted, battle-tested Lubin for what should be a light snack.

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