Boxing’s golden goose Jake “El Gallo” Paul returns to center stage June 28th at Honda Center in Anaheim to face former champion Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. Paul vs Julio Chavez Jr. Odds opened with Paul -1000 but have deflated to -600 with 63% of boxing bets on Chavez Jr.
Paul, 11-1, 7 KO’s, is fresh off a signature one-sided victory over shot legend Mike Tyson where he cashed tickets as a 2-1 favorite. Chavez Jr., 54-6-1, 34 KO’s, a former champion, is primed to become little more than a ragdoll for Paul, unless he can somehow halt the decay of his body—but at this point, it’s hard to see anything but a painful, one-sided beating in his future.
Jake Paul may be a social media creation, but what he brings to the ring now is more than just followers and flash. At 28, Paul is the hungrier, faster, and physically stronger fighter heading into this curious but compelling matchup against 39-year-old Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. What began as a sideshow now feels like a legitimate crossroads fight — for very different reasons. Is Chavez just here for a paycheck? Will Paul come out blazing and score a 1st round knockout as he stated he would? ESPN2 News breaks down the particulars.
Jake Paul vs Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. Picks and Best Bets
- Boxing Picks: Paul KO3
- Best Bet: Paul KO +145 Mybookie.ag
Jake Paul vs Julio Cesar Chavez Jr.
Paul enters with clear advantages: superior hand speed, better footwork, and a youthful reflex package that makes him difficult to time. And while purists still flinch at the idea of Paul headlining anything in boxing, the truth is he’s committed himself to the sport in ways Chavez Jr. never fully did, even in his prime. He trains like a professional, shows up in shape, and—more than anything—keeps improving. His power is real, and his patience has matured.
Chavez Jr., on the other hand, is a name first and a fighter second. Once a relentless body-punching volume machine who stalked opponents with his father’s DNA, he now fights more upright, more cautious—a result of age, wear, and a life that’s taken more detours than rounds. In recent outings, he’s transformed into more of an outfighter, working behind a respectable jab and avoiding prolonged exchanges. His reflexes are dulled, in part due to the effects of past drug use, and the once-ferocious engine is now sputtering.
Jake Paul vs Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. Predictions and Best Bets
Chavez Jr. shows up with the vibe of a man fresh off a late-night smoke session, not a prizefight. Paul? He’s dialed in, with broad shoulders, a granite right hand, and teeth-cutting sparring. Round 3 is the danger zone. Chavez’s head barely moves, and those loafing feet can’t steer him clear forever. One clean right from the YouTube bruiser and the son of the legend will be studying the ring lights, wondering why he signed on for this beating.
You can talk ring craft all you want—this matchup boils down to youth, muscle, and mean intent. Paul owns all three, plus the swagger to let them loose. Chavez left that fire in another decade.
Play: Paul KO 3, +145. Five units. Easy money, folks.
| Paul vs Chavez Jr. Tale-Of-The-Tape |
Jake Paul |
Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. |
| Power |
8.5 |
7 |
| Handspeed |
7.5 |
5.5 |
| Stamina |
6 |
6 |
| Defense |
7 |
6.5 |
| Resilience |
8 |
7 |
| Agility |
7.5 |
6 |
| Jab |
7 |
6 |
| In-Fighting |
7 |
6 |
| IQ |
7.5 |
6 |
| TOTAL |
66.0 |
56.0 |