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Boxing Predictions

Manny Pacquiao vs Mario Barrios Odds, Predictions, Best Bets

Forty-six-year-old Hall of Fame boxer Manny Pacquiao will return to the ring after a four-year retirement to face Mario Barrios for the WBC welterweight championship. Manny Pacquiao vs Mario Barrios Odds for the July 19 bout in Las Vegas have opened with Barrios as a -250 favorite and Pacquiao as a +190 underdog.

Pacquiao, 62-8-2 with 39 knockouts, last laced ’em up in earnest back in 2021 against Yordenis Ugas. He returned for a curious three-round exhibition with Japanese kickboxer Rukiya Anpo last July, a bout that had more in common with nostalgia than pugilism. Anpo, a sharp but limited amateur, tagged him often and early.

Barrios, 29-2-1, 18 KO’s, last fought on the Jake Paul vs Mike Tyson undercard where he had to get off the deck to capture the WBC interim belt against slugger Abel Ramos.

Pacquiao has banked north of $775 million in his career. His legacy is etched in granite. So what’s left? A shot at one last headline? A love affair with the crowd? Or maybe a refusal to let go of the man he used to be.

The Manny Pacquiao vs Mario Barrios bout will be aired on on Prime Video pay-per-view.

Manny Pacquiao vs Mario Barrios Odds and Boxing Predictions

  • Boxing Predictions: Barrios 116-112
  • Best Bet: Barrios via decsion (+190 Mybookie.ag)

Manny Pacquiao vs Mario Barrios Boxing Predictions

A soft-around-the-edges Pacquiao looked more relic than ring general in his last outing against kickboxer Rukiya Anpo — flashes of the old Pac-Man came in brief, flickering bursts, like a dying light bulb.

Stylistically, this is a minefield for Pacquiao. Barrios is tall, rangy, and agile. He throws in combinations and places his shots with intent — especially that sneaky right hand, which echoes the one Anpo landed so freely. If that finds a home early, we might be looking at a slow fade for the southpaw senator.

Pacquiao’s speed — once his most lethal weapon — looks dulled. The legs, once built for darting in and out like a street fighter hopped up on Red Bull and destiny, now move like they’ve been through a thousand wars… because they have. His reflexes, his timing, even his vaunted work rate — all of it feels borrowed from another life.

Barrios is a blue-collar technician with a sharp jab and a relentless punch rate that’ll test what’s left of Pacquiao’s once-legendary gas tank.

Manny Pacquiao vs Mario Barrios Best Bets

This will be a tactical affair. Barrios uses his jab and movement to frustrate the 46-year-old legend while staying disciplined and avoiding risky exchanges. Pacquiao’s chin and heart keep him on his feet, but his offense falls short. Prediction: Barrios by decision (+190).

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Pacquiao vs Barrios Match-Up Manny Pacquiao Mario Barrios
Power 8 7
Handspeed 7 7.5
Stamina 7 8
Defense 7.5 8
Resilience 7.5 7.5
Agility 7 7.5
Jab 6.5 7
In-Fighting 7 7
Counterpunching 7 7
Total 64.5 66.5

 

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