Tonight from Madison Square Garden the face of boxing Canelo Alvarez will try to capture the vacant W.B.A. super middleweight championship against U.K. contender Rocky Fielding. Canelo Alvarez vs Rocky Fielding Fight Odds have Alvarez at -1600 moneyline with 70% of boxing predictions on Fielding +800. The fight will be broadcast on DAZN at 11 PM ET. Alvarez, 50-1-2, 34 KO’s is making his debut at 168 Lbs. and will be going for a title in a 3rd different weight class. Fielding, 27-1, 15 KO’s, has piled up the majority of his wins against hapless European pugs and was stopped in just a few minutes in his only true test against contender Callum Smith. Can the top-10 U.K. contender  pull of a Rocky Balboa like upset against ESPN2 News #2 ranked pound-4-pound boxer? Our fight picks experts give our breakdown. Canelo Alvarez vs Rocky Fielding Fight Odds have Fielding at +800 (Bet $100 to win $900)

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Canelo Alvarez – Boxer

Strengths: Stocky and physically strong especially in the upper-body. Aggressive and intelligent boxer/puncher with a deadly body attack. Throws whistling combinations with excellent power and leverage, especially with the left hook. Throws a fast and accurate jab from an air-tight guard. Skilled counterpuncher with outstanding timing and accuracy. Slick target with excellent ring vision and subtle side-to-side head movement. Bull-necked has never been off his feet and has displayed a rock solid chin throughout his career.

Weaknesses: Good but not great athleticism and must be set to punch. Was out quicked and out witted in his lopsided loss to Floyd Mayweather in 2013. Aggressive style makes him vulnerable while trading. Fights in explosive bursts but can be inactive for long stretches. Short for a middleweight. Average arm length. Average foot speed.

Canelo Alvarez vs Rocky Fielding Fight Odds Over/Under is at 7.5 Rounds with the Under at -190

Rocky Fielding – Boxer

Strengths: Tall and sinewy at 6’1″ with a 75″ reach gives him an instant advantage over most opponents. Cagey veteran that knows his way around the ring. Tough and resilient with a strong will to win. Slicker than perceived target with clever defensive moves. Strong jab from long range is a useful range finder. Good motor with high punch volume. Knows how to work the body and rough things up.  Gritty and versatile with the ability to fight inside.

Weaknesses: Not a big puncher. Ordinary athlete with below-average hand speed. Was knocked out badly against contender Callum Smith in late 2015 bringing his chin into question. Skinny frame makes him vulnerable to body blows. Relatively untested at the highest level with most wins coming against hand picked European competition.

Boxing Predictions: Canelo Alvarez  via KO -400

Alvarez/Fielding

Power: 9/7

Hand Speed/Accuracy: 8.5/6.5

Stamina: 8/7

Defense 8.5/7.5

Chin/Resiliency: 9/7

Jab: 8/8

Boxing Ability: 8.5/7

Agility/Balance: 7/7

Bodypunching/In-Fight: 9/7

Height: Fielding +5

Strength/Size: Canelo +3

Bodypunch Resiliency: Canelo +2

Intelligence: Canelo +1

Confidence/Focus/Will To Win: Canelo +1

Cuts/Injury/Age/Inactivity: –

Judges Scoring: Canelo +4

Trainer: Canelo +1

Overall Rating 1-10

Canelo Alvarez: 9.65

Rocky Fielding: 7.5

Canelo Alvarez vs Rocky Fielding Fight Odds Props

Canelo via KO: -400

Canelo via decision: +350

Rocky via KO: +1100

Rocky via decision: +3300

Draw: +3300